Sports Betting Exchange
Betting exchanges have been central to the online betting revolution. Betfair was the first betting site to allow bettors to place lay bets, and that move re-shaped the sports betting industry. A betting exchange is a marketplace for bettors where they bet against each other. Betfair was the first sports betting exchange to establish this new way of betting. This marketplace aspect means that exchange members can offer odds themselves or request odds from other betting exchange members. Betting exchanges look like they will be “the wave of the future.” Why pay -110 vig when you can deal with a fellow sports bettor and get -103, +100, perhaps even +105??!! As sports bettors become more informed shoppers, an increasing number of players will migrate to the exchanges. Understanding E-Sports Betting Odds. We show E-Sports betting odds on the Exchange in decimals. E-Sports decimal odds are easy to understand, because they represent the payout you'll get if you win – e.g. 4.2 means you'll receive 42 for every £10 you bet, including your stake, if the bet wins. Sports Betting and the Stock Market: Fundamentals. When you look at them at their most fundamental, base level, sports betting and the stock market reward players for successfully predicting the future. Much like the stock market, sports betting isn’t all about wins and losses (ie. Stock prices going up and down).
In many cases, you can find better odds and lines at the sports betting exchanges than at reduced juice sportsbooks.
Here are some advantages of the betting exchanges:
- Liquidity has improved greatly at some betting exchanges. You will normally see relatively large amounts of liquidity at better prices at the exchanges than at most sportsbooks. Sometimes, you may find only small bids offered on the betting exchanges, but at good prices.
- Note that exchange liquidity and pricing often improves as game time approaches.
- Fees vary widely at the betting exchanges. They may range from 0% to 5% (and more) on winning bets. These fees are often separate from the actual transaction and vig, so you need to consider these fees when you enter into any sports betting exchange transaction.
- When using sports betting exchanges, you are dealing with other sports bettors. As a result, you won’t be banned or have your lines shaded if you prove to be a sharp bettor.
And here are some disadvantages:
- Currently, many betting exchanges do not offer “Second Half” lines on many sports. Offerings on “Totals” in college hoops and other less-popular markets are also sparse.
- Liquidity for “smaller games” is sometimes limited.
- If the line moves suddenly, the betting exchange may not create a new market at the new line immediately. This means you will either have to go to a sportsbook or pay the adjusted vig.
Value and Liquidity
Betting exchanges look like they will be the wave of the future. Why pay -110 vig when you can deal with a fellow sports bettor and get -103, +100, perhaps even +105??!! As sports bettors become more informed shoppers, an increasing number of players will migrate to the betting exchanges. This will lead to increased liquidity, improved pricing for players and a self-fulfilling cycle of increased business for the betting exchanges.
One important point to note is that you can use sports betting exchanges in a variety of ways. Some players will shop the lines offered (called offers” on the betting exchanges and then buy up an offer. If the pricing isn’t great, the player might just use their regular sportsbook. Other players will put out bids and try to see if other players will accept their offer.
Examples of betting exchanges:
- Matchbook
- Betfair
- Betdaq
Disclaimer
We do not guarantee that the trends and biases we’ve found will continue to exist. It is impossible to predict the future. Any serious academic research in the field of “market efficiencies” recognizes that inefficiencies may disappear over time. Once inefficiencies are discovered, it is only a matter of time before the market corrects itself. We do not guarantee our data is error-free. However, we’ve tried our best to make sure every score and percentage is correct.
Sports trading means backing and laying sports betting odds for a profit before the event comes to an end.
The “backing” is the same as betting. Laying is bookmaking, which stands for offering odds to bettors. By laying at short odds and backing at higher odds, sports traders are able to make money either in-play or even before kick-off! What’s more, sports trading can be applied in almost any sports market, even in financial and political betting or in special bets, such as TV shows and music contests!
Personally, I went full-time sports trading in 2004 and quit in 2007. During those years I traded millions in horse racing markets and gained experience that helped me make the move to stock and forex trading. At the peak of my sports trading career, I traded 10+ million of euros in a single month.
Read on to find out how I started, my bankroll requirements, my advice on money management and tips on how to improve your predictions and how to use betting charts.
How I started sports trading
People very often ask me for advice on how to start in sports trading. I now give them a link to this very article. If you read the lines below, you will know:
- how much money you need;
- how to apply money management, and;
- what to avoid in your first steps in sports trading.
Yet, you still need to predict the market correctly if you were to become a profitable sports trader. I tried to explain that via showing my trading style in a numerous videos I uploaded at YouTube. The video that attracted the most viewers is this, so I guess it will appeal to you the most as well.
I found betting exchanges in 2004. I used to bet the regular way in online bookmakers till then and like most, I initially found it difficult to understand what is going on in a betting exchange. Odds were moving up or down, there were money waiting to be ‘matched’ and we could act as bookmakers ourselves! A total chaos that drove me away in the beginning.
Little did I know that I would return a couple of weeks later and become a full-time sports trader!
That happened when I bumped into a video online, where a sports trader explained how he was making money by trading horse racing betting odds. He bragged that he rarely had a losing day! You know the saying: when something seems too good to be true, it’s because it is.
Adam Todd, the sports trader in question, made me spent considerable time on comprehending betting exchange’s mechanics. Finally, after watching his video over and over again, I pulled the plug and deposited my first 500 euros in Betfair. That was my first and only deposit I made in the betting exchange.
The kind of trading that Adam showed and I built my skills upon, is called scalping. Scalping is trading miniscule odds movements, making small but constant profits. Imagine buying oranges for $2 and selling them for $2.04 ten seconds later. Yes, scalping is trading on steroids.
You need speed for scalping. No, a 24Mbps internet connection does not guarantee the speed I am talking about. It’s the lowest ping you should be after. Ever played a video game online and experienced lag? Those milliseconds that cost you a virtual ‘kill’ may mean hundreds of dollars in sports trading and scalping in particular.
Now comes the best part: I began scalping with a 56Kbps dial-up internet connection. Odds were refreshing every 2 seconds minimum. At times, I submitted orders and didn’t know what was happening for about 5 or 10 seconds! Talking about dark ages.
Even under those circumstances, I managed to double my bankroll during the first month of sports trading. Yet, it was obvious I was handicapping myself.
What to avoid in sports trading
Upon installing a broadband internet connection a month later, my winrate skyrocketed. I did have losing days, but never did I have a losing month, like Adam. Skillful traders could actually make money in almost every horse race!
The best handicappers and sports bettors could not beat that. The best sports betting strategy can have days in the red. Sports trading was an entirely different beast.
Losing money when scalping meant you didn’t trade well. You made bad predictions, you chased your losses or you had bad internet connection. I cannot think of another reason to lose money. No, the rule of “cutting your losses short and letting your winners run” does not apply in scalping. That’s because you always cut your losses short and you seldom let winners run in scalping. Thus, if you do not cut your losses early on, you are not scalping but gambling.
- Bad predictions: In scalping, much like in trading, you make money when you predict odds movements correctly. If you constantly trade in the wrong direction, you are going to be broke. In scalping, that means you suffer many small losses instead of scoring many small wins. By improving your predictions in scalping, you increase the win/lose ratio, not the money won/lost per trade. This means you will ultimately have a lot more winning trades, yet the net amount won per each trade will remain about the same. I’ll explain later how I improved my predictions in horse racing and in pretty much any other market I traded.
- Chasing your losses: This is lack of discipline. Being a scalper, sports trader, a position trader or an investor, chasing your losses is one of the biggest leaks. This leak can and will bring any profitable strategy to its knees. Chasing losses is found in any form of gambling, therefore if you caught yourself doing that, you are not ready yet for sports trading. Because of the high betting frequency in sports trading, your lack of discipline can have a devastating result in a much shorter time. Make sure you are not prone to tilting and losing temper, before delving into sports trading.
- Bad internet connection: This doesn’t need much explanation. If your internet goes down during a trading session, you are toast. You should have a backup plan in case of that emergency, which usually includes a backup internet connection. That second connection does not need to be that fast but it should be reliable. You are only going to close your open trades with that.
In fact, there is another reason to lose money in sports trading before the horse race starts, but I needed a headline instead of a bulleted list to address it.
Never go in-play when sports trading
Unless you were supposed to trade in-play, letting a trade open on the race’s official starting time is a recipe for disaster. But why would you do that in the first place?
- You are losing more than you expected in the regular trading session and are looking to gamble a bit to recoup losses quickly.
- You are aiming for that one tick to get out of the market but odds seem to have come to a halt.
- Races start on specific time, which you missed. Although today’s trading software set alarms on for you to avoid that error, you’d be surprised how often traders neglect keeping an eye on their clock!
Whatever the reason you are willing to let a trade go in-play, restrain yourself from doing it ever again! Accept your loss, take your one-tick-less profit and move on to the next horse race. Trading never ends, the next opportunity is just a click away.
You have no excuse to put your bankroll in such a high-risk environment.
In-play sports trading demands a different approach and certainly puts you in a severe disadvantage when you are risking 50% or 100% of your trading capital! And speaking of capital, let’s now say a few words on money management.
How much money do you need for sports trading?
As little as possible! Since you are reading this, I assume you are at best an amateur when it comes to sports trading. Therefore, you should invest the minimum amount of money until you become familiar with sports trading. Why?
Because, as they say, you are going to lose that money – consider it a tuition towards your trading studies. So, why spend much when a few hundred dollars can teach you the same lessons?
I myself began with just 500 euros, although I had studied about financial trading and chart analysis, while have proven myself that I was disciplined enough in gambling. What makes you think you are going to win from Day One, without ever reading a trading book?
Remember that practice beats every book, but you do need some background to get your feet off the ground.
After allocating a specific amount of money for your trading endeavors, you should manage that money properly. How to do that? Jump over to my sports trading’s money management article. Then come back.
Did you read that?
Ok, now you know perfectly well what I did, in order to become a successful sports trader and get interviewed by popular sports websites. In fact, this particular interview of mine has become quite popular and you can find more details of my sports trading career in that post.
A career that ended in 2007.
The curse of a professional gambler
Gambling and investing usually present themselves with many money-making opportunities. Unfortunately, those opportunities do not seem to last for long.
When word is out and more fishermen jump into the pod, fish become extinct. The edge is severely affected and sometimes the market has balanced itself so much, that there’s no edge at all anymore! On the other hand, old strategies fail while new ones prosper!
That’s what happened in my sports trading. More traders with fast internet connections joined the party, more astute bettors converted to traders and more sophisticated trading systems emerged to beat the old-fashioned ones. I had to evolve, much like I evolved after casinos barred me from playing blackjack (due to me card counting).
And that is the curse of a professional gambler: Adapt or die.
I adapted by taking a look at another opportunity emerging at those times. That opportunity would allow me to go back to playing cards again. Read my poker story here.
Sports Trading Resources
In my opinion, you stand a better chance if you study about stock markets and technical analysis (here’s my advice on how to move from sports trading to stock trading). You’ll better comprehend market depth’s behavior and be able to pick better spots to back or lay after learning chart analysis. With that in mind, here are some resources I strongly recommend you spend some time on.
Don’t forget that any form of trading is a psychological battle between supply and demand.
NOTE: By clicking on the affiliate links, you not only help me pay this blog’s bills, but you also show your appreciation towards any helpful tip you read in my website. Besides, you don’t have to use the links if you don’t like. The price is the same whether you use the link or not.
Sports trading software and tools
In modern times of sports trading, sophisticated and advanced trading software is necessary. Otherwise, competition will always be a step ahead. This software offers chart analysis, instant order placement and greening-up functionality to name just a few of their advantages. Before you decide on which software you are going to use in sports trading, make sure you time-trial it. Also, do not be afraid to share your credentials with officially approved software vendors and avoid sketchy ones.
The following list includes software I have personally tried and used over the years.
Top 10 Online Betting Sites
Crypto Sports Betting Exchange
- Bet Angel: The software that sits between you and the betting exchange. Not only does it contain very advanced, state of the art, trading tools but it’s a suite of advanced betting tools as well.
- OddsArchive: Charts of PinnacleSports’ odds movements. Get 15% off by using the coupon “JIMMAKOS” when purchasing a package.
- BetExplorer: The latest odds movements from almost every online sportsbook around the world.
- OddsChecker: Drifters and steamers in every betting market available online.
Sports Betting Exchange Canada
Finally, these are the five most recent articles I wrote about sports trading.